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Risks to grow as U.S. forces hit the ground

Helicopters, special forces expected to take over as battle leaves skies

10/11/2001

By RICHARD WHITTLE / The Dallas Morning News

WASHINGTON – The next phase of the military campaign in Afghanistan is likely to be even less visible and far more dangerous for U.S. forces than the first four days of airstrikes, experts say.

Where is he?

Osama bin Laden is a man of many hideouts. Fifty-five locations in Afghanistan have been identified recently as spots in which he has been seen. Reports by U.S., Pakistani, and Russian intelligence analysts, along with accounts from reporters in the region, have pinpointed several of the most likely in the geographically forbidding country. They include:

• The Dara Kayan valley near Pol-e Khomri, which reportedly has been cleared of residents by Taliban authorities to provide bin Laden and his Taliban supporters with a haven. This is where Mr. bin Laden fled when U.S. cruise missiles attacked his training camps in 1998.

• The snow-topped Pamir Mountains in northern Afghanistan, near the border with Tajikistan.

• The rugged mountains of Oruzgan province, in central Afghanistan not far from the Taliban stronghold of Kandahar. He has used the area as a meeting place and base off and on since being given haven by the Taliban in 1996.

• Kandahar, where he is reported to have established a system of underground bunkers, or in Kabul, the Afghan capital. These sprawling cities offer numerous hiding places, friendly civilians and Taliban forces to protect him.

SOURCE: Wire reports

The ruling Taliban's military forces have been unable to threaten U.S. bombers and strike aircraft. But much of the action from here may have to take place on the ground.

Having established control of the skies, U.S. and British forces are expected to launch secret helicopter-borne commando raids to target the al-Qaeda terrorist group for airstrikes and help Afghan rebels gain the upper hand in their battle with the Taliban government.

"Discrete, in-and-out raids going after specific individuals or groups are quite possible," said Michele Flournoy, a former Pentagon counterterrorism expert.

Such raids would be mounted by special operations troops – U.S. Army Rangers, the secretive Delta Force and Britain's SAS, for example.

The 31st Marine Expeditionary Unit, based in Okinawa, also could come into play, noted retired Marine Corps Lt. Gen. Fred McCorkle, who retired last month as deputy commandant. "The entire MEU is special operations-capable," he said.

And while such forces typically operate under cover of darkness, the risk of a helicopter being shot down or troops taking casualties is ever present.

"You'll probably see helicopters inserting special forces personnel and extracting them," said Sen. John McCain,R-Ariz.

"You probably have to go in on the ground to make sure that the training camps and other terrorist networks are eliminated, and that means the risk of American lives."

Targets to change

The bombing will continue, experts said. But with the Taliban's fixed anti-aircraft defenses largely disabled and its communications disrupted, the targets will change.

Taliban troop concentrations, suspected hiding places of al-Qaeda terrorists and other "targets of opportunity" will be the main focus as U.S. air forces try to "level the military playing field between the Taliban and opposition forces on the ground," Ms. Flournoy said.

Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld said Tuesday that one goal was to help the opposition overthrow the Taliban, though the United States isn't backing the Northern Alliance specifically.

"The other piece of phase two is to make it uncomfortable or unsafe for members of the al-Qaeda network to stay in hiding and force them to move somehow," Ms. Flournoy said.

"When they move, we'll potentially have the opportunity for direct action."

Among the weapons U.S. air forces used Wednesday as they sought to put al-Qaeda on the run was a 5,000-pound "bunker-buster" warhead – the BLU-109 – designed to penetrate concrete bunkers.

The warhead punches through earth or concrete and explodes when it hits a cavity.

The BLU-109 can be loaded on a variety of bombs – such as the laser-guided GBU 28 – and missiles that are laser-guided or use the satellite global positioning system to find their targets, said Air Force spokesman Chief Master Sgt Andy Stanley.

'Good cave people'

Noting Afghanistan's cavernous terrain, Army Col. Bill Darley, spokesman for the joint Special Operations Command in Tampa, Fla., said U.S. special operations troops also "know how to go into caves."

"We've got good cave people," Col. Darley said, declining to discuss specific techniques troops might use in such situations.

Pentagon officials refuse to discuss possible operations. Col. Darley, however, noted that the Special Operations Command "has some of the assets you can bring to the table – all of which are applicable, depending on what the president wants to do."

Among others, they include:

• Three battalions of 600-700 men in the Army's 75th Ranger Regiment. "These are the best-trained light infantry the Army has," Col. Darley said.

• Special Forces, or Green Berets, whose main job is to train, organize and lead irregular forces behind enemy lines. Green Berets already are working with the Northern Alliance rebels in Afghanistan, according to reports from the region.

• The 160th Special Operations Aviation Regiment, based at Fort Campbell, Ky. The 160th flies specially outfitted MH-60 Blackhawk assault helicopters, MH-47 Chinook medium-lift transport helicopters and armed AH-6 and MH-6 "Little Bird" choppers, used for reconnaissance and transporting small teams of commandos.

• Air Force Special Operations Command, which operates MH-130 transport aircraft and AC-130 gunships, which carry Gatling guns and cannon able to obliterate targets on the ground in a hail of bullets.

The Air Force also has commando teams trained to parachute into enemy territory, or "fast rope" down from a helicopter, to give medical treatment to pilots who have been shot down and injured.

"All these forces spend most of their time training at night," Col. Darley said.

Staging area unclear

Where such raids might be staged from is still unclear, despite reports that 1,000 soldiers from the Army's 10th Mountain Division have been sent to Khanabad airbase in Uzbekistan, and the USS Kitty Hawk aircraft carrier may be used as a staging platform.

The 10th Mountain Division troops "are there to protect the search and rescue teams, both Air Force and Army, that have been introduced in there so that if any pilots go down, we can go in there and pull them out," said retired Lt. Gen. Ted Stroup, former deputy chief of staff of the Army.

Any ground operations under way at this point probably are merely for reconnaissance, possibly in conjunction with the Northern Alliance, whose estimated 15,000 fighters have been locked in a stalemate with the Taliban, Gen. Stroup said.

"In this reconnaissance phase, there also would be satellite, aircraft and UAV – unmanned aerial vehicles – taking pictures," he noted.

Having a helicopter shot down is among the risks for special operations forces, experts said.

Somali rebels used rocket-propelled grenades to down two Blackhawks in Mogadishu in 1993.

That led to an all-night gunbattle in which 18 Rangers were killed and dozens were wounded.

The event was widely viewed as a disaster, even though the Rangers, Delta Force operators and Navy SEALs fighting with them killed more than 500 Somalis and captured two warlord lieutenants.

But those helicopters were flying in daylight when they were shot down, and the Somalis who fired the grenades did so at close range.

Concerns about Stingers

Taliban forces are known to have U.S.-made, shoulder-fired Stinger anti-aircraft missiles that could pose a threat to helicopters – though their range is too short to threaten high-flying strike aircraft.

But retired Marine Corps Gen. McCorkle, who flew 1,500 combat missions as a helicopter pilot in Vietnam, said almost all military choppers today are equipped with countermeasures that can defeat a heat-seeking Stinger, such as flares that trick the missile into missing.

"A lot of them now have the automatic system, where the pilot or the crew don't even have to see the missile," Gen. McCorkle said.

"The aircraft itself sees it. As soon as it does, these flares are put out automatically, which are far, far hotter than the engine the guy's shooting at."

The Stinger "is a big concern," he added, "but from what I know – and it's quite a bit – I don't think these guys [the Taliban] have nearly the capability that the opposing force had in Kosovo. I wouldn't hesitate. I'd love to lead the first mission in there."




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